Tuesday, April 3, 2007

Pettite's return may have to wait... Washout Wednesday




Well, it looks like nostalgic Yankee fans are going to have to wait a little longer than they bargained for to see their 90's hero Andy Pettite return to the stadium mound.

The forecast for Wednesday is gloomy at best:

Primary low pressure crosses the Great Lakes into Ontario on
Wednesday...with the parent shortwave carving out a deep closed low over
the Great Lakes is it phases with another shortwave over northern
Ontario. Rain could become heavy at times on Wednesday as deep layer SW flow
(with 50-knots southerly 800 mb jet) transports deep moisture with precipitable water
around an inch into the area. NAM forecasts small amounts of elevated
instability...so have continued with chance of afternoon thunder.

As per swody2...0-6km shear values of 25-40 knots would be sufficient
for organized thunderstorms...but extent of destabilization is highly uncertain.


Meanwhile...a secondary low developing over the middle Atlantic region
Wednesday afternoon should pass near or just S of Long Island late Wednesday
evening...bringing an end to steady precipitation overnight.
Slower
trends over the past few model cycles favor a solution no faster than
a blend between the faster GFS and slower NAM with the progression
of this feature.

Forecast taken from National Weather Service Area Forecast Discussion

To put that into layman's terms, it is going to rain tomorrow - ALL DAY.

Don't count on seeing any baseball in the Bronx until Thursday at 7:05 PM which will most likely feature Andy's return.
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